George Kuczera
School of Engineering
Newcastle University
Australia
Biography
"Professor Kuczera is recognised as a world authority on the theory and application of Bayesian statistical methods in hydrology and water resources. His research addresses the fundamental problem in application of hydrology to water engineering, namely limited predictive ability arising from large errors in data and model errors arising from limited understanding of dynamics and complexity. His work has focused on developing methods that make the best use of limited information and quantifying uncertainty to inform the decision making process. In recent years he and his team have developed BATEA, Bayesian total error analysis, which provides a comprehensive treatment of all major sources of uncertainty affecting hydrologic prediction. He has made significant contributions in the area of water resources systems analysis. In recent years his team has developed decision support systems for urban water resource planning that use multi-objective optimization to identify optimal trade-off portfolios of capital and operational options. His work on integrated urban water management seeks to maximize community benefits by integrating water supply, storm water and waste water at small to large scales."
Research Interest
Civil Engineering, Environmental Engineering
Publications
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Kuczera G. Urban water supply drought security: a comparative analysis of complimentary centralised and decentralised storage systems. Proceedings of Water Down Under 2008. 2008:1532.
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Henley BJ, Thyer MA, Kuczera G, Franks S. Incorporating long-term climate information into stochastic models of annual hydrological data: A Bayesian Hierarchical approach. In30th Hydrology & Water Resources Symposium: Past, Present & Future 2006 (p. 327). Conference Design.
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Kuczera G, Renard B, Thyer M, Kavetski D. There are no hydrological monsters, just models and observations with large uncertainties!. Hydrological Sciences Journal–Journal des Sciences Hydrologiques. 2010 Aug 23;55(6):980-91.