Thomas Chadefaux
Assistant Professor
Political Science
Trinity College Dublin
Ireland
Biography
Thomas Chadefaux holds an M.A. in international politics from the Graduate Institute of International Studies in Geneva, and an M.A. and Ph.D. in political science from the University of Michigan. Prior to becoming an assistant Professor of Political Science at Trinity College Dublin, he has been a visiting assistant professor in the department of political science at the University of Rochester and a postdoctoral researcher at ETH Zurich.
Research Interest
My current research focuses on the causes of interstate conflict and on their prediction. In particular, I rely on large amounts of fine-grained spatial and temporal data (e.g., newspapers, satellite images, financial markets) to reveal early warning signals for war. I also study the geographic aspects of civil wars. In addition, my interests extend beyond political science to sociology and evolutionary game theory.
Publications
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Thomas Chadefaux, The Triggers of War: Disentangling the Spark from the Powder Keg., 2014
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Data Science, Amsterdam, IOS Press, [eds.], 2016-
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Thomas Chadefaux, Dirk Helbing, How Wealth Accumulation Can Promote Cooperation. , PLoS One, 5, (10), 2010
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Thomas Chadefaux, Bargaining over Power: When Do Shifts in Power Lead to War? , International Theory, 3, (2), 2011, p228 - 253
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Thomas Chadefaux, Dirk Helbing, The Rationality of Prejudices, PLoS One, 7, (2), 2012, p1 - 10
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Thomas Chadefaux, Early Warning Signals for War in the News, Journal of Peace Research, 51, (1), 2014, p1 - 14
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Thomas Chadefaux, News and War, 1.0, Journal of Peace Research, 2014
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Helbing, Dirk, Dirk Brockmann, Thomas Chadefaux, Karsten Donnay, Ulf Blanke, Olivia Woolley-Meza, Mehdi Moussaid, Anders Johansson, Jens Krause, Sebastian Schutte, Matjaz Perc, Saving Human Lives: What Complexity Science and Information Systems Can Contribute, Journal of Statistical Physics, June, 2015, p1 - 47
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Thomas Chadefaux, Market Anticipations of Conflict Onset, 2015
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Spaiser, Viktoria, Thomas Chadefaux, Karsten Donnay and Dirk Helbing., Politics on Twitter: The Case of Political Unrest in Russia, 2011-2012, Journal of Information Technology & Politics, 2017, p1 - 47
